Islamabad June 13 2023: The favorable environmental conditions are in support to sustain Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) “BIPARJOY” through the forecast period.
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) “ BIPARJOY” over northeast Arabian Sea moved further north- northwestward during last 06 hours, and now lies near Latitude 21.2°N & Longitude 66.6°E at a distance of about 410km south of Karachi, 400km south of Thatta.
Maximum sustained surface winds are 150-160 Km/hour gusts 180 Km/hour around the system center and sea conditions being phenomenal around the system center with maximum wave height 30 feet. The favorable environmental conditions (sea surface temperature of 29-30°C, low vertical wind shear & upper-level divergence) are in support to sustain its strength through the forecast period. The favorable environmental conditions (sea surface temperature of 29-30°C, low vertical wind shear & upper-level divergence) are in support to sustain its strength through the forecast period.
Under the existing upper-level steering winds, the VSCS “BIPARJOY” is most likely to track further Northward until 14 June morning, then recurve Northeastward and cross between Keti Bandar (Southeast Sindh) and Indian Gujarat coast on 15 June afternoon/evening as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) with packing winds of 100-120 Km/hour gusting 140 km/hour.
