Sinagpore May 18 2023: Rice prices in Asia, one of the most consequential metrics in global commodity markets — have the potential to climb to multiyear highs.
Supplies may be challenged this year as weather risks build, mainly hotter-than-normal temperatures already seen and, as 2023 unfolds, the possibility of a crop-scorching El Nino event. Rice is the region's key staple, and an important component of local CPI baskets.
Thailand, an exporting powerhouse, has reportedly asked growers to harvest a single crop this season, instead of the usual two. That stands to reduce output just as extemal demand climbs if harvests elsewhere miss expectations, especially in Indonesia or the Philippines.
The price of one the Thailand's benchmark grades advanced to $515/ton this week, on course for a third monthly gain. Should it top January's peak of $523/ton, that would be the most in more than two years - and a further climb above $579/ton would be a decade high.