Islamabad July 30 2022: Currently, La-Niña condition is prevailing and is likely to continue with weak intensity during August 2022, while the IOD condition is expected to remain in negative state, with increasing intensity towards the end of the forecast month.
During August 2022 overall, a tendency for above normal precipitation is predicted over most parts of the country. Northeastern Punjab, Kashmir, southern parts of Sindh as well as coastal areas of Balochistan are expected to receive above normal rainfall during the forecast month. Most parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan may receive slightly above normal whereas Gilgit Baltistan may receive nearly normal rainfall during August 2022.
Heavy rainfall can trigger flash flooding in hilly areas of Punjab, AJK and KP, as well as urban flooding in plain areas i.e. major cities of Punjab, Sindh and KP.
Due to extreme hydro-meteorological events over catchments, riverine floods can’t be ruled out and above normal temperatures in high altitudes are likely to increase rate of snowmelt in the Northern Areas subsequently increasing the chances of base flow in the Upper Indus basin.
Sufficient water for irrigation and power sectors will be available during the forecast month.